Wednesday, November 20, 2013

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Ye Tan
destiny
This century the world population trends and the consequent social challenges - poverty, inflation, unemployment of youth - will constitute a continuing pressure on global governance. For China, the opportunities to improve the quality of population and the total population and the huge challenges of aging, need to grasp this opportunity to transition mccain foods jobs to gain the initiative. May 3, the United Nations published the "World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision" (hereinafter referred to as "Outlook") predicts the end of the century, the world's population from the current less than 70 billion to 10.1 billion (moderate mccain foods jobs estimate), and even possible (high estimate) reached 15.8 billion, while higher certainty estimates for 2050 compared to 9.3 billion. Given the average mccain foods jobs annual growth of the world economy is expected to reach 2% to 3%, from the overall point of view, this century's population exceeded 10 billion increase, it seems that you can afford. Prior to April 28, China National Bureau of Statistics released the sixth national census data, after wide public concern "Chinese fertility rate is too low," this issue has not been a positive response, while the total population sex ratio has also unexpectedly declining, aging population became prominent hot topic. mccain foods jobs Data show that the census population aged 0 to 14 accounted for 16.60%, compared mccain foods jobs to 2000 census dropped 6.29 percentage points; population aged 60 and above accounted for 13.26%, compared to 2000 increased by 2.93 percentage points from the census, the population of which 65 years and over accounting for 8.87%, compared to 2000 increased by 1.91 percentage points from the census. National Bureau of Statistics, Mr. Ma said: "It means that China's aging process continues. mccain foods jobs Aging population and social development of national science needs to properly deal with a serious challenge, the challenge of our country may be greater than in developed countries." Whether the United Nations or of the data shows that the world is undergoing tremendous change demographic change, which led to the economic and social structure is changing, this, we need a broad perspective to research and find countermeasures. Population explosion was popular in the mid 20th century in Europe and America as a "doomsday mccain foods jobs prophecy", but since the 1970s onwards due to a change in lifestyle and values, fertility - especially in Europe and other developed countries, fertility fell sharply, suddenly caught in a so-called "low fertility trap." Although the population explosion did not come true, but the "outlook" or reveals an alarming trend: the population mccain foods jobs is expected to grow the fastest in some areas, it is the poorest, most turbulent, most areas of the lack of effective governance. "Outlook" various countries and regions of the world according to fertility were divided into low, medium, and high groups, a group of high fertility, of which 75% of the population, mccain foods jobs living in Pakistan, Nigeria, the Philippines, Ethiopia, Congo (DRC), Tanzania , Sudan, Kenya, Uganda, Iraq, Afghanistan, Ghana, Yemen, mccain foods jobs Mozambique and Madagascar, and this group of the population to 2100 will grow by 2 to 3 times as much! At the same time, low-fertility countries mccain foods jobs - most of the developed countries - in 2030 the total population will touch the top down, and even intermediate-fertility countries such as India, mccain foods jobs the total population will also peaked 2060 ~ 2070 fall. That is, in this century, the population living in hardship areas the proportion of the total world population will continue, increased significantly. As the United States George Mason University professor of public policy Goldstone said: "The 21st century, affecting international security is not primarily how many people in the world, but the world's population is structured and distributed: where to reduce, and where growth, which National relatively old, what younger, and how they affect demographic population movements between regions. "from" outlook, "the forecast population growth and decline relative term, demographic trends of this century may constitute three aspects of stress. The first is the total global population growth and rapid population mccain foods jobs growth in some areas led to food, water and other necessities in a constant state of deprivation. The second part of the population is a high-growth countries labor - especially youth labor surplus. The third is sluggish population growth mccain foods jobs in developed countries, an aging population and social welfare to become a heavy financial burden, leading to lack of long-term global economic demand. These three pressure together, it is possible in Africa, the Middle East, West Asia and other places, some countries mccain foods jobs continue to face the high cost of living, a large number of unemployed youth, mccain foods jobs the future of despair, alienation social traditions, triggering unrest, poverty - turbulence - the vicious poverty cycle. For China, the picture of the world in a challenge at the same time also constitutes opportunities. On the one hand, China's huge population make it vulnerable to the total imported food and energy price shocks; aging population will increase the pressure on pension expenditure and residents; demographic dividend tends to disappear seems suspended in the "Made in China" header on a two-edged "sword of Damocles." On the other hand, China's continuously improve the quality of human resources, to help Chinese industry in the global industrial chain to high-end, high-profit sectors to upgrade; developed countries, lack of demand, will require China to further mccain foods jobs increase in the weight of the global economy. In the economic outlook continues to improve, flourishing fortunes background, imported inflation and unemployment risk is also easier to manage - Young people have good expectations for the future, after all, more than anything else. In order to cope with risks, seize opportunities, China is investing heavily in human resources should make the best use to achieve industrial transition. At the same time as soon as possible to adjust the current population policy. Furthermore, in order to avoid high population growth volatile region of the input risk, China should increase efforts to participate in global governance and improve the level of participation. Pattern of the world's population and the world economy, there have been similar to the development of political situation, China, India and other emerging countries, increasing the weight of population and economic activity, as the distribution of political power becomes more and more fragmented. mccain foods jobs China during this critical period to take decisive transformation strategy, taking wealthy and strong country, the road of scientific development, the right time. (First Financial Daily)
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